Policy studies in India: Finding direction and purpose

In recent years, there has been a steady increase in the number of think tanks and academic institutions studying public policy in India. These range from government funded bodies (like NITI Aayog), private sector organizations (like Observer Research Foundation or Centre for Policy Research) to international forums (like World Economic Forum, World Bank) and policy schools in premier higher education institutions (Centre for Policy Studies at IIT Bombay, School of Public Policy at IIT Delhi).

These indicate a divergence from the previous dominance of the Civil Service, mainly through the Planning Commission, in policy recommendation and analysis. While implementation was seen as the key determinant of policy success or failure till 1990s, this has given way to analysis of policy design, assumptions, forecasts and the very objective of the policy. This has also resulted in both a politicization of policy and the policy-fication of politics. In spite of the inchoate nature of the process, policy debates still provide the core of ideas, justifications and concepts – although more contentiously in a political environment where achievement of power through ideological hegemony seems to be the predominant goal. This articles discusses the direction of policy studies and its changing relevance in current political context.

While Planning Commission in India signified policy as a technocratic tool of an enlightened administration, recent developments have taken an argumentative turn locating policy both as a strategy servicing politicians and interest groups (politicization of policy) and as a tool to structure and systematize the public debate between experts, citizens and states (policy-fication of politics). The Commission in its latter decades was criticized for its lack of political realism and introducing political preferences under the guise of neutral procedures and technicalities in pursuit of political objectives.

Although similar critiques can be made of Niti Aayog, today’s broader policy debate recognizes human biases, political motivations and power dynamics much more than it did in the past. Diverse and emerging institutions of policy studies also reflect reduced relevance of traditional political scientists in the power hierarchy of policy process. This is signified by shift to a more technocratic approach that studies impact, processes and content of public policy based on causation, falsification and evidence. This seems to be a more causal approach that diagnoses problems, conducts trials/experiments and predicts impacts of policy interventions. To what end, is an open question. They may be just as political in the guise of neutral.

Moreover, there is an added appreciation of action imperatives and political demands that policymakers face, although sometimes it may be used to justify very bad but enthusiastic policies. Policy studies today lie at the intersection of scientific rationality as a means of solving collective problems and the socio-cultural fragmentations that regard rationality as exclusionary, undemocratic and incompatible with diversity, and hence fallible. To ameliorate this, policy reports try to underline improvements and modification as important components of policy, thus locating it in an iterative social context of public understanding, dialogue and action.

At the same time, opening up of the policy process has also lead to multiple cosy relationships among politicians, administrators, analysts and commentators who have coherent views on an issue. This generates pockets of influence with divergent political framing systems, whose relevance changes with power dynamics. In fact, this is a clear example of politicization of policy where any evidence is no more than an argument to further an outcome.

In this context, policy studies may be seen just as a systematic means to provide clever strategic shortcuts and simplifications to decision-makers with only modest changes in their knowledge, i.e. policy analysts are seen as just providing ammunition in a rhetorical contest whose policy outcome has been decided by those in power. Optimistically, this can also be viewed as a way for to forge common ground between competing interests. However, this may also create a moral relativism where reprehensible policies suddenly emerge as solutions from the supposed consensus of participatory or electoral politics.  It disregards the conditions for such a political consensus, if it can be so called, resulting in political deception and manipulated legitimation of forced consent.

One of the issues with this argumentative turn in policy studies is the creation of counter-experts immune to learning or reflection – ‘tribes of experts’ – who create ‘contradictory certainties’ beyond comparison for politically persuasive audiences, which reinforces polarization and leads to policy paralysis. Policy studies today is caught between the practical demands of scientific analysis and the increasingly tenuous practice of politics. It is in a dilemma between serving either an active participatory, national citizenship, or a self-proclaimed, enlightened, policy-making political élite (includes opposition) which is global.

This predicament also signifies a gradual decoupling of policy studies from its previous role in supporting government-initiatives, towards shaping debate on issues that have either skipped decision makers or which require more global agreements to emerge before a policy problem is even defined. While policy studies is an emerging field in Indian academia, it would be wise for its promoters and practitioners to recognize the direction they are treading on and reflect on the way forward. The fractured nature of modern politics can easily seep into policy studies, undermining the expertise of policy analysts and degrading the quality of policy-making.

References:

Hoppe, R., “Policy analysis, science and politics: from ‘speaking truth to power’ to ‘making sense together’, Science and Public Policy, 26-3 (1999)

Notes from Indian Elections, 2019: Discussion at Center for Policy Research

On 27th May 2019, Center for Policy Research (New Delhi) hosted a discussion on the recently concluded General Elections of India, 2019 hosted by Yamini Aiyar. It is very insightful and presents many points that are missed out in the regular discourse. You can watch the video here:

Center for Policy Research

Here, I have made some notes from the discussion between panelists based on the points they make respectively.

Yogendra Yadav (soical activist, psephologist and politician)

  • Post the results, many of us seem to want to elect a new people
  • Do not conflate consequences with intentions of people – the distinction between the two is the space for politics

What Voter is saying

  • Care for this country – strength, pride – trust Modi more than anyone else to bring it about
  • Don’t like negativity about Modi
  • Don’t take my caste for granted
  • More frightened by coalitions than by Modi
  • Voting not for the self, but for the nation
  • More voting for ideological reasons

Intentions

  • Voting for PM
  • Anxiety about future of country
  • Resentment against minorities
  • Aspirations

Causes – beyond the voter’s control

  • Modi – cult + will to power + ambitions synchronized into one persons
  • Money
  • Media
  • Machine –

Consequences

  • Electoral authoritarianism, more concentration of power – decline of institutions
  • Non-theocratic majoritarianism
  • Public being mobilized to destroy the republic
  • Still lot of space for creative politics – understand intentions and respond

Space for politics

  • Recovery of nationalism – should not be surrendered
  • Religion – recover its inclusive language
  • Culture and language – speak to ordinary people in how they understand the world

Other comments:

  • the idea of NYAY (Congress manifesto point) reached only those who would pay for it, not those who would benefit from it,
  • manifesto was not about getting back power at all,
  • complete inability to respond to Pulwama,
  • no response to unemployment, demonization
  • Nationalism and Hindutva presented as the same thing to the voter
  • Foundation of BJP is the fraudulence of Indian secularism
  • Complete deracinated nature of Indian elite
  • What has India’s secularism done in response to 1992?
  • Nationalism may be a good thing – can be used against Modi
  • Beyond a point, media and propaganda can work against Modi
  • Respond positively to aspirations, not merely what is wrong with Modi

Vandita Mishra (journalist)

  • A hunger for power even after getting power
  • Telling multiple stories – Hindutva, rashtra (hit, pratishtha, suraksha), schemes (not necessarily get them but learnt through media), TINA
  • From citizen to beneficiary to voter – (came to entitlement, rather than empowerment)
  • Coming together of government and organization (RSS)
  • Reinforced narrative dominance

Other Comments:

  1. Modi makes both his supporters and his opponents intellectually lazy
  2. Distortions of social justice and secularism have to be corrected

Tariq Thachil (academic and political scientist)

  • BJP machinery built over a long period of time
  • Need to win large majorities without actually offering broad representations
  • Pure Modi, one man election (4M with Modi at the center)? Is that true?
  • Does it trump economic issues?
  • Motivated reasoning of voters? away from failures towards leaders
  • BJP or Modi attachment? Is BJP’s partisanship expressed as loyalty to Modi?
  • Perhaps Modi complements Money, Media and Machinery?
  • Is mobilization creating a leader effect or vice versa?
  • 2018 – 74% of all income of political parties, 98% of electoral bonds, 99.8% of it more than 10L – money helps mobilization, and projects winnability

Other Comments:

  • Lots of stuff happening at the same time
  • In some places, Muslims supporting BJP in large numbers

Shekhar Gupta (journalist)

  • Modi’s rise is a phenomenon, not a fraud on India
  • 2004 – BJP got 9 seats less than INC – TMC, TDP and others didnt want to go with BJP due to Gujarat but attributed to failure of India Shining – convenient explanation
  • 2009 – Credit given to Mrs. Gandhi – loan waiver, MNREGA – not to Manmohan Singh
  • Where poor are 30% – INC strike rate 68%, 70% are poor – INC strike rate around 30%
  • Growth was there but it went away
  • Congress and its durbar undermined UPA 2
  • 2019 – Modi got away with saying that nothing happened before 2014
  • Much happened – roads, airports, handling of GFC, Satyam handled much better than ILFS
  • Nobody from Congress said anything about UPA achievements but only about Indira and Sonia Gandhi
  • Manmohan Singh’s every speech went viral at all times – people remember him as a decent man who did something good
  • Responsibility of keeping India secular has been outsourced to 15% of its populations
  • Dalits are no longer with Mayawati anymore – miscoordiation of alliance
  • Most op-eds don’t go anywhere
  • People have been defeated despite money – Chandrababu Naidu
  • Voter in this country does not trust the Congress Schemes at all
  • JAM trinity works for a lot of people
  • Journalists and commentators either chose not to see or ignored the delivery of schemes without bribes
  • Biggest caste vote-bank in India – upper caste
  • Caste based parties leave a lot of OBCs behind – except Yadavs and Dalits
  • Congress’ lack of commitment, intellect and its arrogance
  • Chaikidaar Chor Hai – not taken well
  • Rahul Gandhi elite – video circulated by BJP
  • Modi is now elite but people see it that he has earned it
  • Congress does not understand India’s poverty anymore
  • The nature of poverty in India has changed – no longer like Indira’s time

G Sampath (journalist)

Sheer structural inequality of this election

  • financial,
  • human resources (premised on money),
  • media,
  • institutional (EC),
  • communication (premised on preceding 4)

Strategic patterns

  • late campaign start for INC,
  • no answer to BJP’s bogus nationalism – not even engaged with it, where was INC’s nationalism that let to India’s independence
  • presidential election without a candidate
  • no story offered by opposition – no narrative of leader, performance

Are we becoming a managed democracy?

Other Comments:

  • Difference between how Modi approaches Hindutva (instrumental, not ideological) and how RSS deploys it (ideological)
  • Modi may have done a lot of damage to BJP as an organization and its workings
  • After Modi – If not Modi, who?

Questions and Answers Session

Center for Policy Research